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Lowest Rates
Housing Market
Ontario Average Sale Price · 2026-06 · Housing-market source
Volume
Chartered-bank home-purchase originations, up 3% year over year (H2 2025 vs H2 2024) · CMHC Spring 2026 report
Market Balance
Ontario had 4.2 months of inventory at the end of June, which Everyrate classifies as balanced under its deterministic inventory band.4.2 months of inventory; 2.7-month long-run average · 2026-06 · Market-balance source
National origination share
Q3 2025 · CMHC source
Ontario
MARKET
INSIGHTS
Updated July 21, 2026
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Fixed-Rate Proxy
Current mechanical 5-year fixed-rate proxy: 4.33%, calculated from the 3.18% 5-year GoC yield plus a 1.15-point spread. This is not a forecast or lender offer; the yield is at or above its 30-observation average. Bank of Canada yield data
Rate Movement
The 5-year GoC yield was 3.18% on 2026-07-20, 9.07 basis points above its 30-observation average of 3.09%. Bank of Canada yield data
Housing Market
Ontario’s average resale home price was $831,595 in June 2026, down 2.5% year over year. (2026-06) Housing-market source
Forecasted Rate Cuts
Q3 2026
0 CUT
Projected
Q4 2026
0 CUT
Projected
Q1 2027
0 CUT
Projected
Q2 2027
0 CUT
Projected
TD Economics’ June 2026 quarterly forecast holds the Bank of Canada overnight target at 2.25% from Q3 2026 through Q2 2027.
Fixed Rates
Elevated 5-year GoC yields are pressuring fixed pricing; broadly available 5-year fixed offers are around 3.94%–3.99% for insured borrowers.
Variable Rates
The lowest broadly listed 5-year variable rate is 3.25% for insured and conventional borrowers, subject to prime-customer qualification and lender terms. Variable-rate source
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OntarioMORTGAGE RATES

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Rates depend on property, mortgage amount, insurance status, credit, income, and lender rules. A licensed broker can confirm what fits.
Best 5-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates in Ontario
Stability and predictability
If you value consistent monthly payments and want to protect yourself from market fluctuations, a 5-year fixed mortgage rate is popular among Ontario homeowners. It provides long-term peace of mind, making budgeting and planning your finances more straightforward, even if interest rates shift unexpectedly. Insured mortgages, which require mortgage default insurance, often offer slightly lower rates due to reduced risk for lenders. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or a seasoned homeowner, locking in a fixed rate can provide financial security for years.
Best 3-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates in Ontario
A blend of flexibility and security
A 3-year fixed mortgage keeps your payments stable for three years. Afterward, you can reassess and decide what's next. It's a strong choice if your life might change soon - whether that's a job move, a home sale, or a shift in the market. We've seen more homebuyers opting for 3-year terms lately thanks to their mix of stability and flexibility.
Top Variable Rate Mortgages in Ontario
Maximum financial flexibility
Variable-rate mortgages are linked to the prime rate, which means your payments can go up or down depending on the economy. Variable rates change more, but they often cost less over time. If your budget can handle some changes, a variable rate can be a great choice to help you save some money.
Ontario Mortgage Rate Planning
Ontario Housing Market Trends
Down Payment Requirements in Ontario
First-Time Home Buyer Programs in Ontario
Additional Costs When Buying a Home in Ontario
Mortgage Regulations in Ontario
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