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Housing Market
Current Fort McMurray
Average Home Price
Volume
Canadian Mortgage Originations (latest CMHC report, H1 or H2)
Flexibility Index
Fort McMurray is moving toward more balanced conditions as inventory continues to rise across all property types and the pace of price growth slows.
Market Share
Fort McMurray
MARKET
INSIGHTS
Updated April 26, 2026
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Rate Forecast
The 8-month outlook puts 5-year fixed rates near 4.22%, derived from the current 5-yr GoC bond yield (3.07%) plus a typical ~1.15% broker-channel spread. Bond yields are easing vs. the 30-day average.
Rate Movement
BoC has held at 2.25% since Oct 2025 with no further cuts expected in 2026. Markets now price a slight risk of a hike by year-end if energy-driven inflation persists.
Housing Market
Fort McMurray's average sold price is approximately $382,700 in the most recent reported period (Q1 2026), up roughly 7% year-over-year per FMREB-reported statistics — reflecting continued demand in the Wood Buffalo region despite broader…
Forecasted Rate Cuts
Q2 2026
0 CUT
Projected
Q3 2026
0 CUT
Projected
Q4 2026
0 CUT
Projected
Q1 2027
0 CUT
Projected
BoC widely expected to hold at 2.25% through 2026; OIS markets price zero cuts and a growing chance of a hike if energy inflation broadens.
Fixed Rates
5-yr GoC bond yield at 3.07%—easing vs 30-day avg—may nudge fixed mortgage rates modestly lower from April highs.
Variable Rates
Best broker 5-yr variable holds near 3.30–3.35% (prime −1.15%)—at 12-month lows following nine consecutive BoC cuts.
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Fort McMurrayMORTGAGE RATES

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Fort McMurray's Best 5-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
Five-year fixed mortgage rates in Fort McMurray remain the go-to choice for most buyers. It's simple, steady, and easier to budget around.
Fort McMurray's Best 3-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
Three-year fixed mortgage rates in Fort McMurray are a solid middle ground. It's shorter than the five-year, but steadier than a variable.
Fort McMurray's Best Variable Mortgage Rates
Variable mortgage rates in Fort McMurray rise and fall with the Bank of Canada's benchmark. When rates drop, so do your payments.
